Two players, one answer.
Bryce Young vs Geno Smith
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 17.9 to 17.2 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Bryce Young by 41% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Bryce Young by 49% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 53% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Bryce Young is projected 0.7 points ahead of Geno Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 53% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · CAR
Bryce Young
11.4 final · 17.9 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
18.7 a game this season · last 3: 19.8, 7.4, 11.4
QB · NYJ
Geno Smith
17.2 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
15.3 a game this season · last 3: 10, 13, 24.5
- Bryce Young's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
- Bryce Young has scored 12.9 a game over his last three, below his 18.7 season average.
What the call rests on
- Bryce Young: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET
- Geno Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 10:33 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 10:33 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Bryce Young plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Geno Smith's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.