Two players, one answer.
Caleb Williams vs Garrett Wilson
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 16.6 to 15.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Garrett Wilson by 29% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Caleb Williams by 24% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 53% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Garrett Wilson is projected 0.8 points ahead of Caleb Williams. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 53% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson
16.6 projected
vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.2 a game this season · last 3: 23.4, 8.4, 4.6
QB · CHI
Caleb Williams
15.8 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
21.2 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 16.5, 22.1
What the call rests on
- Garrett Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:00 AM ET
- Caleb Williams: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:00 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 10:10 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Wilson | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.6 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 13.8 | 15.8 |
| Standard | 11 | 15.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Caleb Williams 15.8, Garrett Wilson 13.8.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Caleb Williams 15.8, Garrett Wilson 11.
- Garrett Wilson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Caleb Williams's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.