Two players, one answer.
Caleb Williams vs Justin Jefferson
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Start Justin Jefferson · 18.3 to 15.7 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Justin Jefferson by 40% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Caleb Williams by 25% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean Justin Jefferson
On Sleeper's projections, Justin Jefferson is projected 2.6 points ahead of Caleb Williams. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
WR · MIN
Justin Jefferson
18.3 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 18.8, 8.4
QB · CHI
Caleb Williams
15.7 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
21.2 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 16.5, 22.1
What the call rests on
- Justin Jefferson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:50 PM ET
- Caleb Williams: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 5:01 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 5:01 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jefferson | Williams |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 18.3 | 15.7 |
| Half PPR | 15 | 15.7 |
| Standard | 11.8 | 15.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Caleb Williams 15.7, Justin Jefferson 15.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Caleb Williams 15.7, Justin Jefferson 11.8.
- Justin Jefferson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Caleb Williams's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.