Two players, one answer.
Caleb Williams vs Matthew Stafford
Any league · Week 9 start/sit · Half PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 18.5 to 18.5 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Caleb Williams by 17% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Caleb Williams by 57% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Caleb Williams and Matthew Stafford are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · CHI
Caleb Williams
18.5 projected
vs TB · Sun 8:20 PM ET
19.7 a game this season · last 3: 16.5, 22.1, 14
QB · LAR
Matthew Stafford
18.5 projected
@ WAS · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 16.9, 18.5, 9.3
- Matthew Stafford is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Caleb Williams: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:30 AM ET
- Matthew Stafford: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 3:44 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 3:44 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- Matthew Stafford's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Caleb Williams is the start.
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Matthew Stafford plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Caleb Williams's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.