Two players, one answer.

Caleb Williams vs Michael Penix Jr.

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Caleb Williams is projected 0.6 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

QB · CHI

Caleb Williams

15.7 projected

@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET

21.2 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 16.5, 22.1

QB · ATL

Michael Penix Jr.

15.1 projected

@ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET

17.1 a game this season · last 3: 14.4, 23.1, 20.4

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.