Two players, one answer.
Carnell Tate vs Tetairoa McMillan
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 14.8 to 13.6 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Tetairoa McMillan by 36% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tetairoa McMillan by 15% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 55% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Tetairoa McMillan is projected 1.2 points ahead of Carnell Tate. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CAR
Tetairoa McMillan
14.8 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
16.2 a game this season · last 3: 45.2, 14.6, 8
WR · TEN
Carnell Tate
13.6 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
11 a game this season · last 3: 1.6, 19, 9.9
- Tetairoa McMillan has scored 22.6 a game over his last three, above his 16.2 season average.
What the call rests on
- Tetairoa McMillan: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
- Carnell Tate: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | McMillan | Tate |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.8 | 13.6 |
| Half PPR | 12.2 | 11 |
| Standard | 9.7 | 8.4 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Tetairoa McMillan plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Carnell Tate's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.