Two players, one answer.

Chase Brown vs Zay Flowers

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Zay Flowers is projected 0.5 points ahead of Chase Brown. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · BAL

Zay Flowers

18.1 projected

@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET

20.4 a game this season · last 3: 14.6, 12.7, 27.7

RB · CIN

Chase Brown

17.6 projected

vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

12.5 a game this season · last 3: 19.1, 7, 9.8

What the call rests on

  • Zay Flowers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • Chase Brown: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 12:50 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 1:05 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredFlowersBrown
PPR18.117.6
Half PPR15.315.7
Standard12.513.7

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • In half ppr scoring the call goes the other way: Chase Brown 15.7, Zay Flowers 15.3.
  • In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Chase Brown 13.7, Zay Flowers 12.5.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.