Two players, one answer.

Chig Okonkwo vs Michael Mayer

Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Michael Mayer is projected 0.3 points ahead of Chig Okonkwo. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · LV

Michael Mayer

7.5 projected

@ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

9.5 a game this season · last 3: 1.2, 16.5, 6.2

TE · WAS

Chig Okonkwo

7.2 projected

vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET

7.5 a game this season · last 3: 2.5, 10, 13.9

What the call rests on

  • Michael Mayer: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
  • Chig Okonkwo: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:40 PM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:56 PM ET.
  • Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
Same projections, scoredMayerOkonkwo
PPR7.57.2
Half PPR5.85.7
Standard4.14.3

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Chig Okonkwo 4.3, Michael Mayer 4.1.
  • Michael Mayer plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Chig Okonkwo's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.