Two players, one answer.
Chris Godwin Jr. vs Jake Ferguson
This week
Toss-up · 10.2 to 9.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Chris Godwin Jr. by 7% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Chris Godwin Jr. is projected 0.4 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · TB
Chris Godwin Jr.
10.2 projected
vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
7.6 a game this season · last 3: 7, 7.7, 6.7
TE · DAL
Jake Ferguson
9.8 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0
What the call rests on
- Chris Godwin Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 2:36 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jr. | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| Half PPR | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 6.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Jake Ferguson 6.3, Chris Godwin Jr. 6.2.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.