Two players, one answer.
Christian Watson vs Tetairoa McMillan
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 16.1 to 14.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Tetairoa McMillan by 14% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tetairoa McMillan by 28% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Christian Watson is projected 1.3 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · GB
Christian Watson
16.1 projected
vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET
18.5 a game this season · last 3: 32.3, 9.4, 10.7
WR · CAR
Tetairoa McMillan
14.8 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
16.2 a game this season · last 3: 45.2, 14.6, 8
- Tetairoa McMillan has scored 22.6 a game over his last three, above his 16.2 season average.
What the call rests on
- Christian Watson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET
- Tetairoa McMillan: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 1:34 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 1:34 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Watson | McMillan |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.1 | 14.8 |
| Half PPR | 14 | 12.2 |
| Standard | 11.9 | 9.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.