Two players, one answer.
Chuba Hubbard vs Derrick Henry
This week
Toss-up · 15.1 to 15.1 projected (Week 8, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 35% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Chuba Hubbard by 40% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Derrick Henry and Chuba Hubbard are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.1 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
16.8 a game this season · last 3: 20.5, 4.5, 5.4
RB · CAR
Chuba Hubbard
15.1 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
16.8 a game this season · last 3: 25.4, 18.6, 8
- Chuba Hubbard's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.1 a game over his last three, below his 16.8 season average.
What the call rests on
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 10:10 PM ET
- Chuba Hubbard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 10:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Henry | Hubbard |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.8 | 16.7 |
| Half PPR | 15.1 | 15.1 |
| Standard | 14.5 | 13.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Chuba Hubbard plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Derrick Henry's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.