Two players, one answer.
Chuba Hubbard vs Sam Darnold
This week
Toss-up · 16.7 to 16.3 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Chuba Hubbard by 78% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Chuba Hubbard by 6% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Chuba Hubbard is projected 0.4 points ahead of Sam Darnold. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · CAR
Chuba Hubbard
16.7 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
18 a game this season · last 3: 25.9, 19.1, 10
QB · SEA
Sam Darnold
16.3 projected
vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET
13.8 a game this season · last 3: 10.3, 13, 15
What the call rests on
- Chuba Hubbard: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:00 AM ET
- Sam Darnold: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 11:00 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 11:05 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 11:05 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Hubbard | Darnold |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.7 | 16.3 |
| Half PPR | 15.1 | 16.3 |
| Standard | 13.5 | 16.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Sam Darnold 16.3, Chuba Hubbard 15.1.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Sam Darnold 16.3, Chuba Hubbard 13.5.
- Chuba Hubbard plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Sam Darnold's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.