Two players, one answer.

Courtland Sutton vs Pat Freiermuth

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Courtland Sutton · Pat Freiermuth

Week 8 · PPR · 57% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Pat Freiermuth is projected 1.6 points ahead of Courtland Sutton. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · PIT

Pat Freiermuth

9.3 projected

vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET

9.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 3.1, 4

WR · DEN

Courtland Sutton

7.7 projected

vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET

5.5 a game this season · last 3: 9.8, 3.9, 7.5

What the call rests on

  • Pat Freiermuth: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 10:20 AM ET
  • Courtland Sutton: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 10:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 10:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 10:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredFreiermuthSutton
PPR9.37.7
Half PPR7.66.2
Standard5.84.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Pat Freiermuth plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Courtland Sutton's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.