Two players, one answer.
D'Andre Swift vs Michael Penix Jr.
This week
Toss-up · 14.8 to 13 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
D'Andre Swift by 76% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
D'Andre Swift by 4% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Michael Penix Jr. is projected 1.8 points ahead of D'Andre Swift. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · ATL
Michael Penix Jr.
14.8 projected
@ TB · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 14.4, 23.1, 20.4
RB · CHI
D'Andre Swift
13.0 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 17.3, 23, 19
What the call rests on
- Michael Penix Jr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
- D'Andre Swift: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jr. | Swift |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.8 | 13 |
| Half PPR | 14.8 | 11.8 |
| Standard | 14.8 | 10.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.8 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Michael Penix Jr. plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before D'Andre Swift's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.