Two players, one answer.
Dak Prescott vs Patrick Mahomes
This week
Start Dak Prescott · 22.6 to 16.9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Patrick Mahomes by 9% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Patrick Mahomes by 5% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 72% held up in 2025
Start Dak Prescott
On Sleeper's projections, Dak Prescott is projected 5.7 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 72% of the time.
QB · DAL
Dak Prescott
22.6 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
19 a game this season · last 3: 14.6, 13, 23.3
QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes
16.9 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
17.3 a game this season · last 3: 17, 11.5, 7
- Patrick Mahomes has scored 11.8 a game over his last three, below his 17.3 season average.
What the call rests on
- Dak Prescott: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- Patrick Mahomes: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 3:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 3:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- Dak Prescott plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Patrick Mahomes's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.