Two players, one answer.
Dak Prescott vs Trevor Lawrence
This week
Toss-up · 19.9 to 19.9 projected (Week 9, Standard)
Rest of season
Trevor Lawrence by 17% (Redraft standard)Dynasty
Trevor Lawrence by 14% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Trevor Lawrence and Dak Prescott are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
QB · JAX
Trevor Lawrence
19.9 projected
@ BAL · Thu 8:15 PM ET
19.7 a game this season · last 3: 22.7, 28.3, 19.4
QB · DAL
Dak Prescott
19.9 projected
@ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
19.1 a game this season · last 3: 13, 23.3, 19.8
What the call rests on
- Trevor Lawrence: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 5:40 PM ET
- Dak Prescott: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 5:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 5:41 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 5:41 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Trevor Lawrence plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Dak Prescott's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.