Two players, one answer.
Dallas Goedert vs Juwan Johnson
This week
Toss-up · 8.2 to 8.1 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Dallas Goedert by 24% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Dallas Goedert by 14% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Juwan Johnson is projected 0.1 points ahead of Dallas Goedert. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · NO
Juwan Johnson
8.2 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
7.8 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 0, 1.2
TE · PHI
Dallas Goedert
8.1 projected
vs NYG · Sun 1:00 PM ET
8.5 a game this season · last 3: 9.1, 7.3, 5.2
- Juwan Johnson has scored 1.6 a game over his last three, below his 7.8 season average.
What the call rests on
- Juwan Johnson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:50 PM ET
- Dallas Goedert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 3:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 3:54 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 3:54 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Johnson | Goedert |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.2 | 9.9 |
| Half PPR | 8.2 | 8.1 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 6.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Dallas Goedert 6.3, Juwan Johnson 6.2.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.