Two players, one answer.
Dalton Kincaid vs Stefon Diggs
This week
Toss-up · 11.9 to 10.6 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Stefon Diggs by 50% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Stefon Diggs by 20% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Stefon Diggs is projected 1.3 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · WAS
Stefon Diggs
11.9 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 7.3, 8.5, 16.4
TE · BUF
Dalton Kincaid
10.6 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
10.1 a game this season · last 3: 1.7, 3.7, 10.8
- Dalton Kincaid is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Stefon Diggs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 6:20 AM ET
- Dalton Kincaid: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 6:20 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 6:27 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 6:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Diggs | Kincaid |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 11.9 | 10.6 |
| Half PPR | 9.9 | 8.6 |
| Standard | 8 | 6.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Dalton Kincaid's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Stefon Diggs is the start.
- A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Dalton Kincaid plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Stefon Diggs's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.