Two players, one answer.
Darren Waller vs Josh Downs
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Start Josh Downs · 10.2 to 7.7 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Josh Downs by 89% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 62% held up in 2025
Lean Josh Downs
On Sleeper's projections, Josh Downs is projected 2.5 points ahead of Darren Waller. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 62% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
WR · IND
Josh Downs
10.2 projected
@ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET
8.2 a game this season · last 3: 7.7, 8.7, 3.8
TE · CAR
Darren Waller
2.1 final · 7.7 projected
@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET
7.7 a game this season · last 3: 0, 12, 2.1
- Darren Waller's game has already kicked off, so most platforms have locked him in or out for this week.
What the call rests on
- Josh Downs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:20 PM ET
- Darren Waller: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 2:20 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 2:30 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Downs | Waller |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.2 | 7.7 |
| Half PPR | 8.1 | 6.2 |
| Standard | 6.1 | 4.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Darren Waller plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Josh Downs's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.