Two players, one answer.

Darren Waller vs Mike Gesicki

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Mike Gesicki is projected 0.4 points ahead of Darren Waller. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · CIN

Mike Gesicki

8.1 projected

vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

11.9 a game this season · last 3: 13, 7.4, 7.6

TE · CAR

Darren Waller

7.7 projected

@ GB · Thu 8:15 PM ET

8.6 a game this season · last 3: 6.6, 0, 12

What the call rests on

  • Mike Gesicki: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Darren Waller: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredGesickiWaller
PPR8.17.7
Half PPR6.86.2
Standard5.44.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Darren Waller plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Mike Gesicki's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.