Two players, one answer.
Dawson Knox vs Nate Adkins
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Dawson Knox by 27% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Nate Adkins by 5% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Dawson Knox is projected 1.6 points ahead of Nate Adkins. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · BUF
Dawson Knox
3.3 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
2.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.3, 1.6, 1
TE · DEN
Nate Adkins
1.7 projected
vs KC · Sun 4:25 PM ET
6.9 a game this season · last 3: 0, 12.8, 7.8
What the call rests on
- Dawson Knox: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 4:40 PM ET
- Nate Adkins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 4:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 4:44 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 4:44 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Knox | Adkins |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| Half PPR | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| Standard | 2 | 1.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Dawson Knox plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Nate Adkins's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.