Two players, one answer.
Deebo Samuel Sr. vs Jaylen Waddle
This week
Toss-up · 11.2 to 10.7 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Deebo Samuel Sr. by 9% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Jaylen Waddle by 25% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jaylen Waddle is projected 0.5 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr.. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · DEN
Jaylen Waddle
11.2 projected
@ CAR · Sun 1:00 PM ET
9.9 a game this season · last 3: 6.4, 8.8, 14.9
WR · SF
Deebo Samuel Sr.
10.7 projected
vs LV · Sun 4:05 PM ETQuestionable
12.1 a game this season · last 3: 15.4, 18, 2.5
- Deebo Samuel Sr. is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Jaylen Waddle: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Nov 5, 9:50 AM ET
- Deebo Samuel Sr.: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Nov 5, 9:50 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Nov 5, 10:04 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Nov 5, 10:04 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Waddle | Sr. |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| Half PPR | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| Standard | 7 | 7.1 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Deebo Samuel Sr. 7.1, Jaylen Waddle 7.
- Jaylen Waddle plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Deebo Samuel Sr.'s late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.