Two players, one answer.
Derrick Henry vs Jake Ferguson
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Start Derrick Henry · 15.9 to 9.7 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 78% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Derrick Henry by 24% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 76% held up in 2025
Start Derrick Henry
On Sleeper's projections, Derrick Henry is projected 6.2 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 76% of the time.
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.9 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 21, 5, 5.9
TE · DAL
Jake Ferguson
9.7 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.6 a game over his last three, below his 17.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET
- Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 1:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 1:32 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Henry | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.9 | 9.7 |
| Half PPR | 15.3 | 7.9 |
| Standard | 14.7 | 6.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
Nothing pending on either: both are expected to play, and the gap is wide enough that a typical projection update doesn't close it.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.