Two players, one answer.

Derrick Henry vs James Cook III

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Half PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Derrick Henry · James Cook III

Week 8 · Half PPR · 55% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, James Cook III is projected 1 point ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 55% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

RB · BUF

James Cook III

16.4 projected

vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

18.1 a game this season · last 3: 15.3, 22.3, 22.8

RB · BAL

Derrick Henry

15.4 projected

@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET

16.8 a game this season · last 3: 20.5, 4.5, 5.4

What the call rests on

  • James Cook III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 6:20 AM ET
  • Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 6:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 6:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 6:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredIIIHenry
PPR17.316.1
Half PPR16.415.4
Standard15.514.8

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1 point or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.