Two players, one answer.
Derrick Henry vs Jayden Daniels
This week
Start Jayden Daniels · 18.1 to 15.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 42% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Jayden Daniels by 70% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 60% held up in 2025
Lean Jayden Daniels
On Sleeper's projections, Jayden Daniels is projected 2.3 points ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 60% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
QB · WAS
Jayden Daniels
18.1 projected
vs PHI · Sun 8:20 PM ET
21.4 a game this season · last 3: 14.7, 32.3, 21
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.8 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 21, 5, 5.9
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.6 a game over his last three, below his 17.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Jayden Daniels: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Daniels | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 18.1 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 18.1 | 15.1 |
| Standard | 18.1 | 14.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Derrick Henry plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jayden Daniels's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.