Two players, one answer.
Derrick Henry vs Jonathan Taylor
This week
Toss-up · 15.2 to 15.2 projected (Week 8, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Jonathan Taylor by 21% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
Jonathan Taylor by 67% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jonathan Taylor and Derrick Henry are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · IND
Jonathan Taylor
15.2 projected
@ JAX · Sun 1:00 PM ET
18.4 a game this season · last 3: 9.7, 20.1, 18
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.2 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
16.8 a game this season · last 3: 20.5, 4.5, 5.4
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.1 a game over his last three, below his 16.8 season average.
What the call rests on
- Jonathan Taylor: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:00 PM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:00 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 12:07 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 12:07 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Taylor | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.2 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 15.2 | 15.2 |
| Standard | 14.2 | 14.5 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.