Two players, one answer.
Derrick Henry vs Josh Jacobs
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 16.1 to 15.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 14% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Josh Jacobs by 45% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Josh Jacobs is projected 0.3 points ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · GB
Josh Jacobs
16.1 projected
vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET
20.1 a game this season · last 1: 20.1
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
15.8 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ET
17.5 a game this season · last 3: 21, 5, 5.9
- Derrick Henry has scored 10.6 a game over his last three, below his 17.5 season average.
What the call rests on
- Josh Jacobs: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 4:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 4:25 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jacobs | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.1 | 15.8 |
| Half PPR | 14.8 | 15.2 |
| Standard | 13.6 | 14.6 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In half-PPR scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 15.2, Josh Jacobs 14.8.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 14.6, Josh Jacobs 13.6.
- Josh Jacobs plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Derrick Henry's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.