Two players, one answer.
Derrick Henry vs Quinshon Judkins
This week
Toss-up · 12.2 to 11.7 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Derrick Henry by 43% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Quinshon Judkins by 60% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Quinshon Judkins is projected 0.5 points ahead of Derrick Henry. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
RB · CLE
Quinshon Judkins
12.2 projected
@ NO · Sun 1:00 PM ET
12.4 a game this season · last 3: 8, 23.4, 6.9
RB · BAL
Derrick Henry
11.7 projected
vs JAX · Thu 8:15 PM ET
17.1 a game this season · last 3: 5, 5.9, 14
- Derrick Henry has scored 8.3 a game over his last three, below his 17.1 season average.
What the call rests on
- Quinshon Judkins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 2:50 PM ET
- Derrick Henry: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Nov 4, 2:50 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Nov 4, 2:52 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Nov 4, 2:52 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Judkins | Henry |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.2 | 11.7 |
| Half PPR | 11.1 | 10.9 |
| Standard | 10 | 10.2 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Derrick Henry 10.2, Quinshon Judkins 10.
- Derrick Henry plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Quinshon Judkins's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.