Two players, one answer.

Deshaun Watson vs Geno Smith

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 62% held up in 2025

Lean Geno Smith

On Sleeper's projections, Geno Smith is projected 2.9 points ahead of Deshaun Watson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 62% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

QB · NYJ

Geno Smith

16.8 projected

vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET

15.3 a game this season · last 3: 10, 13, 24.5

QB · CLE

Deshaun Watson

13.9 projected

@ PIT · Sun 1:00 PM ET

15.7 a game this season · last 3: 12.2, 9.5, 19.2

What the call rests on

  • Geno Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Deshaun Watson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 2.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.