Two players, one answer.
DeVonta Smith vs George Pickens
This week
Start George Pickens · 14.6 to 12 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
About even (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
George Pickens by 13% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean George Pickens
On Sleeper's projections, George Pickens is projected 2.6 points ahead of DeVonta Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
WR · DAL
George Pickens
14.6 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 28, 13.3, 15.7
WR · PHI
DeVonta Smith
12.0 projected
@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ETQuestionable
17.3 a game this season · last 3: 27.7, 12.5, 20.5
- George Pickens is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- George Pickens has scored 19 a game over his last three, above his 13.9 season average.
- DeVonta Smith is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- George Pickens: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- DeVonta Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:10 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 1:11 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Pickens | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14.6 | 12 |
| Half PPR | 12.3 | 9.9 |
| Standard | 10 | 7.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- George Pickens's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, DeVonta Smith is the start.
- DeVonta Smith's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, George Pickens is the start.
- A projection update of 2.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- George Pickens plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before DeVonta Smith's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.