Two players, one answer.
DeVonta Smith vs Lamar Jackson
This week
Start Lamar Jackson · 20.4 to 12 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
DeVonta Smith by 26% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Lamar Jackson by 24% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 81% held up in 2025
Start Lamar Jackson
On Sleeper's projections, Lamar Jackson is projected 8.4 points ahead of DeVonta Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 81% of the time.
QB · BAL
Lamar Jackson
20.4 projected
@ BUF · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
20 a game this season · last 3: 15.8, 20.4, 18.9
WR · PHI
DeVonta Smith
12.0 projected
@ WAS · Sun 8:20 PM ETQuestionable
17.3 a game this season · last 3: 27.7, 12.5, 20.5
- Lamar Jackson is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- DeVonta Smith is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
What the call rests on
- Lamar Jackson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- DeVonta Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 1:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 1:34 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Jackson | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 20.4 | 12 |
| Half PPR | 20.4 | 9.9 |
| Standard | 20.4 | 7.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- Lamar Jackson's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, DeVonta Smith is the start.
- DeVonta Smith's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Lamar Jackson is the start.
- Lamar Jackson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before DeVonta Smith's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.