Two players, one answer.
DK Metcalf vs Luther Burden III
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 12.3 to 11.4 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
DK Metcalf by 7% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Luther Burden III by 32% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 54% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Luther Burden III is projected 0.9 points ahead of DK Metcalf. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 54% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CHI
Luther Burden III
12.3 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 8.9, 17.5, 23.7
WR · PIT
DK Metcalf
11.4 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.9 a game this season · last 3: 5.3, 20.3, 7.6
What the call rests on
- Luther Burden III: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET
- DK Metcalf: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 10:00 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 10:03 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Oct 27, 10:03 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | III | Metcalf |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 12.3 | 11.4 |
| Half PPR | 10 | 9.6 |
| Standard | 7.6 | 7.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.9 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: DK Metcalf 7.7, Luther Burden III 7.6.
- DK Metcalf plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Luther Burden III's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.