Two players, one answer.
Drake Maye vs Josh Allen
This week
Start Josh Allen · 24.5 to 21.9 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Josh Allen by 56% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Josh Allen by 33% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean Josh Allen
On Sleeper's projections, Josh Allen is projected 2.6 points ahead of Drake Maye. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
QB · BUF
Josh Allen
24.5 projected
vs BAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
27.5 a game this season · last 3: 19.5, 31.5, 18.3
QB · NE
Drake Maye
21.9 projected
@ MIA · Sun 4:25 PM ET
20.9 a game this season · last 3: 39.5, 23.8, 28.4
- Drake Maye has scored 30.6 a game over his last three, above his 20.9 season average.
What the call rests on
- Josh Allen: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:40 AM ET
- Drake Maye: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 1:40 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 1:46 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 1:46 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 2.6 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Josh Allen plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Drake Maye's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.