Two players, one answer.

Elijah Higgins vs Jonnu Smith

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Elijah Higgins is projected 0.3 points ahead of Jonnu Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · ARI

Elijah Higgins

2.3 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

5.7 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 5.8, 4.7

TE · GB

Jonnu Smith

2.0 projected

vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET

3.9 a game this season · last 3: 3.6, 2.9, 1.9

What the call rests on

  • Elijah Higgins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:20 AM ET
  • Jonnu Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 1:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 1:24 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 1:24 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredHigginsSmith
PPR2.32
Half PPR1.81.6
Standard1.31.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jonnu Smith plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Elijah Higgins's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.