Two players, one answer.

Elijah Higgins vs Noah Gray

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Noah Gray is projected 1.2 points ahead of Elijah Higgins. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · KC

Noah Gray

3.5 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

4.6 a game this season · last 3: 3.7, 8.3, 7.4

TE · ARI

Elijah Higgins

2.3 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

5.7 a game this season · last 3: 8.7, 5.8, 4.7

What the call rests on

  • Noah Gray: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 2:30 AM ET
  • Elijah Higgins: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 2:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 2:40 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 2:40 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredGrayHiggins
PPR3.52.3
Half PPR2.71.8
Standard1.91.3

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Elijah Higgins plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Noah Gray's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.