Two players, one answer.

Gardner Minshew II vs Garrett Nussmeier

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Gardner Minshew II · Garrett Nussmeier

Week 8 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Gardner Minshew II and Garrett Nussmeier are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

QB · ARI

Gardner Minshew II

0.0 projected

@ DAL · Sun 1:00 PM ET

No games this season

QB · KC

Garrett Nussmeier

0.0 projected

@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET

No games this season

What the call rests on

  • Gardner Minshew II: Sleeper's projection
  • Garrett Nussmeier: Sleeper's projection
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 6:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 6:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Gardner Minshew II plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Garrett Nussmeier's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.