Two players, one answer.
Garrett Wilson vs Matthew Golden
This week
Toss-up · 15.6 to 15.2 projected (Week 9, PPR)
Rest of season
Matthew Golden by 35% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Matthew Golden by 40% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Garrett Wilson is projected 0.4 points ahead of Matthew Golden. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson
15.6 projected
@ KC · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.2 a game this season · last 3: 8.4, 4.6, 14.3
WR · GB
Matthew Golden
15.2 projected
@ NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET
16.4 a game this season · last 3: 22.4, 9.9, 20.9
- Garrett Wilson has scored 9.1 a game over his last three, below his 14.2 season average.
What the call rests on
- Garrett Wilson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 10:40 PM ET
- Matthew Golden: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 10:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 10:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 10:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Wilson | Golden |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 15.6 | 15.2 |
| Half PPR | 12.8 | 12.6 |
| Standard | 10 | 10 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- In standard scoring the call goes the other way: Matthew Golden 10, Garrett Wilson 10.
- Garrett Wilson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Matthew Golden's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.