Two players, one answer.

Geno Smith vs Jordan Love

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · Standard

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Geno Smith · Jordan Love

Week 8 · Standard · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Jordan Love is projected 0.1 points ahead of Geno Smith. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

QB · GB

Jordan Love

— final · points pending · 17.1 projected

vs CAR · Thu 8:15 PM ET

18.9 a game this season · last 3: 25.3, 21.2, 18

QB · NYJ

Geno Smith

17.0 projected

vs LV · Sun 1:00 PM ET

15.3 a game this season · last 3: 10, 13, 24.5

What the call rests on

  • Jordan Love: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
  • Geno Smith: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 4:00 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 4:07 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jordan Love plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Geno Smith's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Standard settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.