Two players, one answer.
George Pickens vs Patrick Mahomes
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Start Patrick Mahomes · 16.8 to 14.3 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
George Pickens by 40% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
George Pickens by 7% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025
Lean Patrick Mahomes
On Sleeper's projections, Patrick Mahomes is projected 2.5 points ahead of George Pickens. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.
QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes
16.8 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
17.3 a game this season · last 3: 17, 11.5, 7
WR · DAL
George Pickens
14.3 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ETQuestionable
13.9 a game this season · last 3: 28, 13.3, 15.7
- Patrick Mahomes has scored 11.8 a game over his last three, below his 17.3 season average.
- George Pickens is questionable. The projection assumes he plays; if he's ruled out, the next player up is the call.
- George Pickens has scored 19 a game over his last three, above his 13.9 season average.
What the call rests on
- Patrick Mahomes: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
- George Pickens: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 4:20 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 4:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Mahomes | Pickens |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 16.8 | 14.3 |
| Half PPR | 16.8 | 12.1 |
| Standard | 16.8 | 9.9 |
What could change it before kickoff
- George Pickens's status (questionable): if he's ruled out, Patrick Mahomes is the start.
- A projection update of 2.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- George Pickens plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Patrick Mahomes's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.