Two players, one answer.
George Pickens vs Zay Flowers
This week
Toss-up · 11.3 to 11.3 projected (Week 9, Half PPR)
Rest of season
Zay Flowers by 4% (Redraft half PPR)Dynasty
About even (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 9 · Half PPR · 50% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Zay Flowers and George Pickens are projected level. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · BAL
Zay Flowers
11.3 projected
vs JAX · Thu 8:15 PM ET
14.6 a game this season · last 3: 9.7, 23.7, 0
WR · DAL
George Pickens
11.3 projected
@ IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET
10.6 a game this season · last 3: 10.3, 13.7, 5.8
What the call rests on
- Zay Flowers: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 9:40 PM ET
- George Pickens: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Nov 3, 9:40 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Nov 3, 9:42 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Tue, Nov 3, 9:42 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Flowers | Pickens |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 14 | 13.5 |
| Half PPR | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| Standard | 8.6 | 9 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Zay Flowers plays first (Thu 8:15 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before George Pickens's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with Half PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.