Two players, one answer.
Gunnar Helm vs Tez Johnson
This week
No call this week: one of them has no game or a projection under 4 points
Rest of season
Gunnar Helm by 23% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Tez Johnson by 21% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 58% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Gunnar Helm is projected 1.7 points ahead of Tez Johnson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 58% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · TEN
Gunnar Helm
5.6 projected
@ CIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
3.7 a game this season · last 3: 3.5, 0, 5.4
WR · TB
Tez Johnson
3.9 projected
vs ATL · Sun 1:00 PM ET
5 a game this season · last 3: 7.4, 2.7, 12.7
What the call rests on
- Gunnar Helm: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:00 PM ET
- Tez Johnson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:00 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 12:07 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 12:07 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Helm | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Half PPR | 4.3 | 3.3 |
| Standard | 3 | 2.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.7 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.