Two players, one answer.
Ja'Marr Chase vs Justin Jefferson
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 19.9 to 18.4 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Ja'Marr Chase by 51% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Ja'Marr Chase by 46% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 57% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Ja'Marr Chase is projected 1.5 points ahead of Justin Jefferson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CIN
Ja'Marr Chase
19.9 projected
vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET
16.2 a game this season · last 3: 5.7, 19.7, 17.2
WR · MIN
Justin Jefferson
18.4 projected
@ DET · Sun 1:00 PM ET
14.4 a game this season · last 3: 5.2, 18.8, 8.4
What the call rests on
- Ja'Marr Chase: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
- Justin Jefferson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 12:20 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 12:22 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Chase | Jefferson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 19.9 | 18.4 |
| Half PPR | 16.7 | 15.1 |
| Standard | 13.5 | 11.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 1.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.