Two players, one answer.

Jake Ferguson vs Josh Downs

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 57% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Josh Downs is projected 1.4 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 57% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: start the one you trust more, or the one with news on his side.

WR · IND

Josh Downs

9.2 projected

@ MIN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

8.2 a game this season · last 3: 7.7, 8.7, 3.8

TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson

7.8 projected

@ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

7.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.1, 4.9, 3.3

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.