Two players, one answer.
Jake Ferguson vs Pat Freiermuth
Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)
This week
Toss-up · 9.6 to 9.3 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Pat Freiermuth by 8% (Redraft PPR)Dynasty
Jake Ferguson by 4% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jake Ferguson is projected 0.3 points ahead of Pat Freiermuth. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · DAL
Jake Ferguson
9.6 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0
TE · PIT
Pat Freiermuth
9.3 projected
vs CLE · Sun 1:00 PM ET
9.6 a game this season · last 3: 21.5, 3.1, 4
What the call rests on
- Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET
- Pat Freiermuth: Sleeper's projection, last changed Fri, Oct 30, 10:30 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Fri, Oct 30, 10:33 PM ET.
- Injury statuses read Fri, Oct 30, 10:33 PM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Ferguson | Freiermuth |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| Half PPR | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 5.8 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.