Two players, one answer.
Jake Ferguson vs Rome Odunze
This week
Toss-up · 10.2 to 9.8 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Rome Odunze by 9% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Rome Odunze by 48% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Rome Odunze is projected 0.4 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
WR · CHI
Rome Odunze
10.2 projected
@ SEA · Mon 8:15 PM ET
8.6 a game this season · last 3: 5, 6.9, 10.9
TE · DAL
Jake Ferguson
9.8 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0
What the call rests on
- Rome Odunze: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM ET
- Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Thu, Oct 29, 12:30 AM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Thu, Oct 29, 12:39 AM ET.
- Injury statuses read Thu, Oct 29, 12:39 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Odunze | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| Half PPR | 8.4 | 8.1 |
| Standard | 6.6 | 6.3 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.4 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Jake Ferguson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Rome Odunze's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.