Two players, one answer.

Jake Ferguson vs T.J. Hockenson

Dynasty Superflex · 12 teams

Stats through week 6 of 2026

Week 7 · PPR · 61% held up in 2025

Lean T.J. Hockenson

On Sleeper's projections, T.J. Hockenson is projected 2.2 points ahead of Jake Ferguson. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 61% of the time. A lean, not a lock.

TE · MIN

T.J. Hockenson

10.0 projected

vs IND · Sun 1:00 PM ET

10.5 a game this season · last 3: 24.9, 1.7, 13.5

TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson

7.8 projected

@ PHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

7.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.1, 4.9, 3.3

Their games have already kicked off, so most platforms have locked them in or out for this week.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season.