Two players, one answer.

Jake Ferguson vs Tyler Higbee

Any league · Week 8 start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 7 of 2026

Week 8 · PPR · 56% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Jake Ferguson is projected 1.3 points ahead of Tyler Higbee. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 56% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

TE · DAL

Jake Ferguson

9.7 projected

vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET

6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0

TE · LAR

Tyler Higbee

8.4 projected

vs LAC · Sun 4:05 PM ET

9 a game this season · last 3: 13.3, 4.2, 3.4

What the call rests on

  • Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Tyler Higbee: Sleeper's projection, last changed Wed, Oct 28, 11:30 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Wed, Oct 28, 11:31 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredFergusonHigbee
PPR9.78.4
Half PPR86.8
Standard6.25.1

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 1.3 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jake Ferguson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tyler Higbee's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.