Two players, one answer.
Jake Ferguson vs Xavier Worthy
Any format · Week 8 start/sit · PPR
Stats through week 7 of 2026
This week
Toss-up · 9.7 to 9.2 projected (Week 8, PPR)
Rest of season
Xavier Worthy by 7% (redraft PPR)Dynasty
Xavier Worthy by 48% (Dynasty Superflex)
Week 8 · PPR · 52% held up in 2025
A toss-up
On Sleeper's projections, Jake Ferguson is projected 0.5 points ahead of Xavier Worthy. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 52% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.
TE · DAL
Jake Ferguson
9.7 projected
vs ARI · Sun 1:00 PM ET
6.4 a game this season · last 3: 4.9, 3.3, 0
WR · KC
Xavier Worthy
9.2 projected
@ DEN · Sun 4:25 PM ET
8.6 a game this season · last 3: 11, 14.3, 4.1
What the call rests on
- Jake Ferguson: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:00 PM ET
- Xavier Worthy: Sleeper's projection, last changed Tue, Oct 27, 2:00 PM ET
- Sleeper's projections read Tue, Oct 27, 2:04 PM ET.
- Injury statuses: Sleeper's player list, read Tue, Oct 27, 9:01 AM ET (once a day). Game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, come after it.
| Same projections, scored | Ferguson | Worthy |
|---|---|---|
| PPR | 9.7 | 9.2 |
| Half PPR | 7.9 | 7.4 |
| Standard | 6.2 | 5.7 |
What could change it before kickoff
- A projection update of 0.5 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
- Jake Ferguson plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Xavier Worthy's late news is known.
Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)
This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.