Two players, one answer.

Jalen Nailor vs Tory Horton

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Jalen Nailor · Tory Horton

Week 8 · PPR · 50% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Tory Horton is projected 0.1 points ahead of Jalen Nailor. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 50% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · SEA

Tory Horton

3.7 projected

vs CHI · Mon 8:15 PM ET

4.4 a game this season · last 3: 7.6, 2.3, 0

WR · LV

Jalen Nailor

3.6 projected

@ NYJ · Sun 1:00 PM ET

3.1 a game this season · last 3: 2.6, 1.9, 3.4

What the call rests on

  • Tory Horton: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 8:20 AM ET
  • Jalen Nailor: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 8:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 8:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 8:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredHortonNailor
PPR3.73.6
Half PPR33
Standard2.42.4

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.1 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Jalen Nailor plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Tory Horton's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.