Two players, one answer.

Jalen Tolbert vs Mitch Tinsley

Any league · this week start/sit · PPR

Stats through week 8 of 2026 (in progress)

Jalen Tolbert · Mitch Tinsley

Week 8 · PPR · 51% held up in 2025

A toss-up

On Sleeper's projections, Jalen Tolbert is projected 0.2 points ahead of Mitch Tinsley. In the 2025 season, a player projected that far ahead outscored the other 51% of the time. That's close to a coin flip: on these projections neither is the better start, and an injury report or a projection update before kickoff can tip it.

WR · MIA

Jalen Tolbert

0.8 projected

vs NE · Sun 4:25 PM ET

1.6 a game this season · last 2: 0, 3.2

WR · CIN

Mitch Tinsley

0.6 projected

vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM ET

4.8 a game this season · last 2: 7.9, 1.7

What the call rests on

  • Jalen Tolbert: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 8:20 AM ET
  • Mitch Tinsley: Sleeper's projection, last changed Sat, Oct 31, 8:20 AM ET
  • Sleeper's projections read Sat, Oct 31, 8:27 AM ET.
  • Injury statuses read Sat, Oct 31, 8:27 AM ET, with the projections (hourly). A fresh projection time doesn't mean every status is: game-day inactives, about 90 minutes before kickoff, can come after it.
Same projections, scoredTolbertTinsley
PPR0.80.6
Half PPR0.70.5
Standard0.50.4

What could change it before kickoff

  • A projection update of 0.2 points or more in the other direction flips the call; Sleeper keeps adjusting its projections until kickoff, and this page reads them again at most an hour after it last did.
  • Mitch Tinsley plays first (Sun 1:00 PM ET); once his game starts most platforms lock him in or out, before Jalen Tolbert's late news is known.

Open in Who should I start (your league, more players)

This week’s projections are Sleeper’s, scored with PPR settings. The percentage is how often a projected gap like this held up across the 2025 season; checked against 2026 games (not used to fit it), the stated chances so far run a few points high, so read a 60% call as nearer 55%.